…THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER TO MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY…

Slight risk in Cincinnati with enhanced risk in part of southeast Indiana.

Categorical Day1 1200Z Outlook

..

Day 1 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
MODERATE 84,433 5,651,963 Memphis, TN…Little Rock, AR…Evansville, IN…Clarksville, TN…Jackson, TN…
ENHANCED 139,018 14,715,831 Indianapolis, IN…Nashville, TN…St. Louis, MO…Louisville, KY…Jackson, MS…
SLIGHT 227,524 35,920,487 Chicago, IL…Milwaukee, WI…New Orleans, LA…Toledo, OH…Cincinnati, OH…
MARGINAL 244,889 42,327,428 Houston, TX…Dallas, TX…Detroit, MI…Columbus, OH…Cleveland, OH…

For the Cincinnati area, showers and storms are expected this evening into tonight. Some of
these storms may be strong to severe, with damaging winds being the
primary threat. A tornado or two will be possible.

For the entire treat area, numerous severe thunderstorms appear likely today across a large part of the lower/mid Mississippi Valley northward into the Midwest, and lower Ohio Valley. Several tornadoes with some strong, widespread damaging winds, some of which could be significant, and large to very large hail will likely occur.