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Significant Severe Weather Threat Wednesday Including Cincinnati and the Ohio Valley

Severe Storm Risk

Tornado risk

Damaging Wind Risk

Large hail risk

…THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER OHIO RIVER VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES REGION…

…SUMMARY…
Scattered severe storms posing a risk for strong tornadoes and large hail are expected in a corridor across eastern Illinois through Lower Michigan Wednesday, with organizing clusters or lines of storms accompanied by potentially damaging wind gusts, and a few tornadoes across the Ohio Valley vicinity.

Potent low pressure and a cold front will provide the focus for severe thunderstorms on Wednesday. Best window for severe storms will be Wednesday afternoon and evening. Stay weather aware!

In addition to the potential for severe storms Wednesday, breezy to windy conditions are expected, with gusts near, or in excess of, 40 MPH likely at times. This is wind that is *not* associated with any storm activity.

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Another Severe Weather Outbreak Forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday, including Cincinnati and the Ohio valley.

Yet another outbreak of severe weather is forecast over the US beginning Tuesday, affecting many of the same areas ravaged on Friday.

…THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM EASTERN IOWA INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS…AND FROM SOUTHERN MISSOURI SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE ARKLATEX….

…SUMMARY…
A large area of severe potential will exist from Tuesday afternoon
into Wednesday morning, from eastern portions of the Plains into the
Missouri and mid/upper Mississippi Valleys. Strong tornadoes and
particularly damaging winds are expected. Both afternoon and
overnight potential will exist across various regions, including the
risk of dangerous nighttime tornadoes.

The severe weather moves eastward Tuesday night and Wednesday and includes Cincinnati and the Ohio valley.

…THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY…

…SUMMARY…
Severe thunderstorms are possible over a large area from the Great
Lakes region southwestward to the Lower Mississippi Valley
Wednesday. This may include cells capable of producing tornadoes and
extensive wind damage, primarily north of the Ohio River, with other
severe storms expected into the lower Mississippi Valley.

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central
Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio:

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast on Wednesday. Strong to
severe storms will be possible during the afternoon and evening
hours. The primary severe weather threat will be damaging winds.
Isolated large hail and isolated tornadoes will also be possible. In
addition, gusty winds between 40 and 45 mph are forecast outside of
precipitation.

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March 31, 2023 Soil Moisture, Drought, and Condition Monitoring Report. Moderately Wet conditions at Cheviot OH 3W. Drought conditions continue to diminish over much of the country except Florida and parts of the Gulf coast. Exceptional drought in the central plains and central Oregon. New dry and drought conditions in the mid-Atlantic.

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This report is specifically for the Arbor Doctor’s location 3.4 miles west of Cheviot, OH, in the western suburbs of Cincinnati in southwest Ohio. This location is also an official cooperative observation site for the National Weather Service listed as Cheviot 3W.

What is the Condition Monitoring Report? See these links for more information:

Explanation of scale bar>>>

30 Day Precipitation:

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Ohio 30-Day Precipitation

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Search condition monitoring reports for the entire US>>>  

Interactive

Condition Monitoring

Static

Watershed Maps

 

United States Weekly Drought Monitor

Click on the title or the graphic (above) to access the
U.S. Weekly Drought MonitorPDF Version of Graphic Adobe PDF Reader

United States Monthly Drought Outlook

Click on the title or the graphic (above) to access the
U.S. Monthly Drought OutlookPDF Version of Graphic Adobe PDF Reader

United States Seasonal Drought Outlook

Click on the title or the graphic (above) to access the
U.S. Seasonal Drought OutlookPDF Version of Graphic

Adobe PDF Reader

Other Drought links:

 

Please remember to water…correctly!

Water once per week, one inch per week, under the entire branch spread, in the absence of rain, May through November. Either rainfall or your watering should equal the one inch per week. Do not water if the soil is already moist. Put out a sprinkler and a straight sided soup can or rain gauge and measure one inch per week. Measure the rainfall which falls in your yard. Your trees don’t care what fell at the airport!

If burlap was left on new trees, it will repel water and the tree or shrub may die. Be sure burlap and twine are removed from the top of all root balls. If your landscaper disagrees, refer him or her to the American National Standards Institute (ANSI) industry standard for installation of landscape plants.

To the extent possible recycle fallen leaves back into the soil around the trees and maintain mulch around the trees to a radius of at least 3-5 feet. Keep mulch off trunks. Use a coarse textured mulch. Avoid triple shredded mulch. Aged arborist wood chips, mulched and composted leaves, pine bark, and pine straw are all good. Very finely ground mulches such as triple ground hardwood mulch are not beneficial and may inhibit moisture and oxygen exchange.

Drought: How Dry Seasons Affect Woody Plants                                                                                                                     >>>

 

1-inch capacity rain gauge  >>>

Taylor rain gauge   >>>

Watering: How and when>>>

Watering Trees and Shrubs>>>

 

Meteorological Versus Astronomical Seasons

Spring: March 1-May 31; Summer: June 1-August 31; Fall: September 1-November 30; Winter: December 1-February 28 (29)

 

You may have noticed that Arbor Doctor, meteorologists and climatologists define seasons differently from “regular” or astronomical spring, summer, fall, and winter. So, why do  meteorological and astronomical seasons begin and end at different times? Climatologically, the period July 14-21, the mid-point of meteorological summer, is the hottest week of the year and the period January 14-21, the mid-point of meteorological winter, is the coldest week of the year over much of the continental US including the Ohio valley.

Read more here>>>

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Nearly half the country has had its coldest day by the first day of calendar winter. That is why meteorological winter makes the most sense.

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