It looks like an unsettled weather pattern with a daily severe weather threat through Saturday. It will not rain all the time. In fact, it will be dry, hot, and humid more than it is wet. However, periodic thunderstorms with the potential for damaging wind, hail, and an isolated tornado will be possible for the next 3 days.
Today, the atmosphere will destabilize into the afternoon with the approach of a weather system, so keep your eyes to the skies.
This week’s Palmer Drought Index moved east-central Ohio into the moderate drought category. Dry conditions extended back into southwest Ohio. Rather localized heavy thunderstorms drenched parts of southwest Ohio Sunday with 1.40 inches at Hamilton-Fairfield Airport, 1.24 inches at Cheviot 0.9 SSE, and 2.20 in Sherwood Anderson Township. The Sherwood location has had copious rainfall, over 6 inches, in the past month.
Whether or not you’ve seen the rain thus far, more heavy rain is expected over the next five days. Some areas could be measuring rainfall by the inches, and severe storms are also possible. Therefore, widespread drought does not appear to be a concern. In fact, if the forecast holds, standing water, localized flooding, and root rot may be more likely than anything else.
Palmer Drought Index: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/palmer.gif
Drought Monitor:
http://drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html
CoCoRaHS reports:
http://www.cocorahs.org/ViewData/ListDailyPrecipReports.aspx
3 day rainfall forecast:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/d13_wbg.gif
Excessive rainfall outlook:
While the weekly US Drought Monitor still shows dry conditions locally, the NWS Seasonal Drought Outlook does not show particularly dry conditions persisting during the spring.Â
Despite recent wet days, total rainfall has not been far from normal and certainly not enough to compensate for our annual defecit this year.
Cheviot 0.9 SSE CoCoRaHS summary:Â Â Click here
