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Major Winter Storm Update–A lull, then the worst is yet to come

A major winter storm is under way with the predicted 3 to 5 inches on the ground this morning and snow still falling.  This is only the beginning of what could be an historic storm in parts of the tri-state.
 
Snow will ease today and may even taper off for a time.  However, a deepening storm system will cause moisture to surge back later today.  This surge of warmer, moist air may cause a crippling freezing rain storm to our south with mixed precipitation making it into the metro area, but not any farther.  It is still not certain where the changeover line will set up but it appears it will be near the I-71 corridor.  Areas which switch over will have storm totals held down some.  Areas which don’t change over but are close will see the heaviest snow.
 
As the night goes on, mixed precipitation will change back to snow and a band of heavy snow will move through.  Snow now appears as if it will continue well into Wednesday, although at a lighter rate.
 
Storm totals will be 6 to 11 inches with locally higher amounts possible.  This will be a long duration, multi-part storm which will have a major affect on the local area.
 
Ron
 
Ronald E. Rothhaas, Jr.
Arbor Doctor, LLC
http://www.arbordoctor.com
Member,  American Society of Consulting Arborists,
International Society of Arboriculture
ISA Certified Arborist, OH-5177A
B.S. Horticulture Interpretation, The Ohio State University
A.A.B. Ornamental Horticulture, Cincinnati State
Technical and Community College
(513) 661-2673

Winter Storm Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
438 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
TODAY...LIFTING NORTHEAST TO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SNOW...SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN TO THE OHIO VALLEY REGION. SIGNIFICANT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

INZ066-073-074-OHZ070>072-077-271800-
/O.CON.KILN.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090128T1700Z/
FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...
LAWRENCEBURG...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CINCINNATI
438 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST
WEDNESDAY.

OCCASIONAL SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. SNOW MAY MIX WITH SLEET...
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA TONIGHT...CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
SNOW WILL THEN TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET IS EXPECTED FOR
TODAY. ANOTHER 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ICE ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT WILL RANGE
BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH.

TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT IS
EXPECTED TO BE 6 TO 11 INCHES.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILN.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
440 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>093-OHZ042>046-051>056-060>062-
070>072-077-281000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-DARKE-SHELBY-
LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-
LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-HAMILTON-
440 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL
OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$
 
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Several articles from fall 2008

All climate change is local?

November 15th, 2008

For those of you who are buying into the global warming hysteria, and lining up to buy carbon credits, consider the sorry state of temperature measurements which are used in measuring climate warming. In Cincinnati, the ‘official’ temperature, over 130 years, has been measured at three very different site, North College Hill, the roof of the post office building downtown, and the airport in Hebron which is an increasingly urbanized area with time. These records have been combined into one historical record. Huh?

Ron

 

 

Arbor Doctor featured in Ron Wilson’s newsletter

November 9th, 2008

The Arbor Doctor drought analysis and weather update was featured in the November 5 “In The Garden with Ron Wilson’s newsletter. In addition to the Arbor Doctor wisdom, Ron Wilson always has lots of good information.

Click here to see the In The Garden newsletter.

Tree care article, tree care tips and new tree planting

November 6th, 2008

Arbor Doctor provides consulting services for inspection of and preservation of existing trees, plant health care services, and tree planting services.

Fall, even late fall, is a great time to plant.

Contact us for recommendations and to arrange for a new arboricultural addition!

Ron

Moderate drought, comparable to 2007

November 1st, 2008

Conditions are currently seriously dry, with tree and shrub damage, short and long term, becoming possible which could be similar in scope to what we saw in 2007. Four month rainfall deficits in 2008 are comparable to 2007 and the desicating effects of Hurricane Ike made up for the less severe heat this year.

While 2008 has been cooler, October ended as yet another warm and very dry month. After only 1.01 inches of rain in September, 2.17 in August, and 2.86 in July, the paltry 1.39 inches in October left us with a four month total of only 7.43, or a mere 1.86 inches per month over the four month period. Normal rainfall during this period is 13.32, or 3.33 inches per month. The four month deficit this year is 5.89 inches.

Amazingly, during the same period in 2007, a very hot and dry year, the rainfall was 12.10 inches! The four month deficit in 2007 was 1.22 inches. It should be noted that record rainfall in October 2007 fell on two successive days at the end of the month, totaling 4.46 inches. Subtracting that from the 2007 four month total would yield a four month total of 7.64, compared with 7.43 in 2008. Therefore, while 2007 was hotter than 2008, the four month rainfall deficit was comparable.

By the 21st of October 2008, Cincinnati was classified as having moved into the moderate drought category. 0.57 inches of rain on the 24th moved us back out of the drought category. However, the index is doing a poor job this year of reflecting the true deficit. Soils were dry just days after this surface soaking rain, and at month’s end soil profiles were bone dry. On October 28, Cincinnati was moving back into the moderate drought category and no rain was predicted over the next week.

It is very important to keep watering, at least through Thanksgiving, unless we get rain.

Ron