Multiple rounds of rainfall Thursday through Friday will bring the potential for flooding. Some thunderstorms Thursday evening into Thursday night may reach severe limits. Damaging winds are forecast to be the primary severe weather threat. The threat for a few strong to severe storms may linger into Friday. Wind gusts of 35 to 40 mph are possible Friday.

Widespread severe weather expected Thursday into Thursday night. Severe thunderstorms are expected from the lower Missouri Valley and Ozarks vicinity into the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio Valleys on Thursday. Damaging gusts, isolated large hail and tornadoes are possible, mainly during the afternoon into the evening hours.

Soil Moisture Condition Monitoring Weekly Report: Near Normal

United States Drought Monitor

Station Number: OH-HM-24
Station Name: Cheviot 3.4 W
Report Date: 3/14/2020
Submitted: 3/14/2020 6:55 AM
Scale Bar: Near Normal
Description:

0.69 inches of rain in the past week and 1.05 inches of rain in March which is below normal, despite all the forecasts of heavy rains. Observed soil moisture conditions are as expected for this time of year.

Categories:
General Awareness
Agriculture
Plants & Wildlife

This report is specifically for the Arbor Doctor’s location 3.4 miles west of Cheviot, OH, in the western suburbs of Cincinnati in southwest Ohio. This location is also an official cooperative observation site for the National Weather Service listed as Cheviot 3W.

What is the Condition Monitoring Report? See these links for more information:

Explanation of scale bar>>>

Search condition monitoring reports for the entire US>>>  

Soil Moisture Index:

Spring leaf out (click on map to enlarge):

Comparison of 2020 spring leaf out to average from 1981-2010

Spring bloom index (Click on map to enlarge):

Comparison of 2020 spring bloom to average from 1981-2010

Some weekend wet weather, with a little white (maybe), then a few dry days before more rain chances late week.

Day 9 image not availableAfter earlier forecasts of an extremely wet pattern setting up in the Ohio valley, another system will bring some rain but shunt the heaviest rainfall to the south. Sorry, Tennessee. Some snow may even mix in in the Ohio valley with a light accumulation on grass possible north of the Ohio River Saturday night. Drier weather will then prevail until late week.

That bright spot in the California Sierra Nevadas is a much needed heavy snow pattern which comes after 2 months of very dry weather.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1584147697The day 6-7 outlook shows heavy rain moving into the Ohio valley late next week. The pattern lately has been for these systems to sink southward with later model runs. We’ll have to see what happens next week but it looks like we’ll get a few dry days in the Ohio valley Monday-Wednesday.