Warm Spring Weather Is Coming, Or Not

Sometimes the weather does as it wants. A warm February has turned into a wintry March. Indications were that temperatures would get more spring-like in the east after the official first day of astronomical spring. Well, not so fast.  After the latest east coast bomb cyclone, computer models seem to be abandoning the spring warm up. While temperatures may warm some this weekend, the 2 week trend is looking chilly and active. More snow? Perhaps for some!

Temperature

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability

Precipitation

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability

Snow totals in the latest winter storm are quite impressive.

STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 08 FOR MID-MARCH NOR'EASTER
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
500 PM EDT TUE MAR 13 2018

...HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES FOR NEW ENGLAND DUE TO A STRONG
NOR'EASTER...

BLIZZARD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF
MASSACHUSETTS...NEW HAMPSHIRE...AND MAINE...AS WELL AS MARTHA'S
VINEYARD.

WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT
OVER THE NORTHEAST U.S. ADDITIONALLY...WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND PORTIONS OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NANTUCKET.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST
WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 400 PM EDT...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED
THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM (NOR'EASTER) HAD STRENGTHENED TO A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 966 MB...28.53 INCHES...AND WAS LOCATED ABOUT
150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET...MASSACHUSETTS. NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED
HEAVY SNOW SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND. MODERATE SNOW WAS
FALLING FARTHER WEST ACROSS PARTS OF NEW YORK.
ADDITIONALLY...WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES REGION AND OHIO VALLEY.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 700 AM EDT SUN MAR
11 THROUGH 400 PM EDT TUE MAR 13...

...CONNECTICUT...
EAST KILLINGLY                       18.3                    
WATERFORD                            17.5                    
LEDYARD CENTER                       16.6                    
CHAPLIN                              16.5                    
NORWICH                              16.0                    
POMFRET                              15.7                    
NEW LONDON                           15.5                    
EASTFORD                             15.0                    
HAMPTON                              13.0                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
FRAMINGHAM                           23.3                    
MILFORD                              20.0                    
LEOMINSTER                           17.0                    
BRIDGEWATER                          16.5                    
WESTWOOD                             16.3                    
MILLVILLE                            16.0                    
NATICK                               16.0                    
STERLING                             16.0                    
WILMINGTON                           16.0                    
BOSTON LOGAN ARPT                     8.4                    

...MAINE...
RAYMOND                              15.0                    
SHADY NOOK 2 WSW                     14.0                    
CAPE NEDDICK                         10.6                    
BIDDEFORD                            10.0                    
DENMARK                              10.0                    
HIRAM                                10.0                    
ROSS CORNER 1 ESE                    10.0                    
MILLBRIDGE 2 NNW                      9.0                    
THOMASTON                             8.3                    
SACO 2 NNW                            8.0                    

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...
CANDIA                               21.0                    
MANCHESTER                           19.0                    
DEERFIELD 1 NNE                      16.0                    
MERRIMACK                            16.0                    
NASHUA                               16.0                    
REEDS FERRY                          15.5                    
EAST DERRY 1 ESE                     15.0                    
PEMBROKE                             14.0                    
BEDFORD                              13.5                    
WINDHAM                              12.5                    

...NEW YORK...
SOUTHAMPTON                          18.3                    
DIX HILLS                            11.0                    
PLAINVIEW                            11.0                    
EAST HAMPTON                         10.3                    
CENTEREACH                           10.0                    
ORIENT                               10.0                    
SOUTH HUNTINGTON                      9.6                    
STONY BROOK                           8.3                    
SAINT JAMES                           8.0                    
COMMACK                               7.5                    
NYC/JFK ARPT                          0.5                    

...PENNSYLVANIA...
TUNKHANNOCK 4 NW                      5.0                    
POCONO COUNTRY 1 S                    4.5                    
STERLING                              4.5                    
COOLBAUGH                             4.4                    
MILFORD 9 NW                          4.4                    
LAKE WYNONAH                          4.1                    
BEACH LAKE                            4.0                    
DYBERRY                               4.0                    
NEW MILFORD 2 SSE                     4.0                    
STANFORDVILLE SE                      4.0                    

...RHODE ISLAND...
BURRILLVILLE                         20.0                    
FOSTER                               17.0                    
WEST GREENWICH                       16.0                    
WOONSOCKET                           16.0                    
CUMBERLAND                           14.0                    
NORTH SMITHFIELD                     13.4                    
WEST WARWICK                         12.5                    
ROCKVILLE                            12.0                    
WESTERLY                             11.3                    
GREENE                               11.0                    
CRANSTON                              9.0                    
SCITUATE                              9.0                    

...VERMONT...
HALIFAX                              18.0                    
NEWFANE 4 SW                         16.0                    
MARLBORO                             15.0                    
CHESTER                              10.0                    
STRATTON                              9.0                    
LUDLOW                                8.0                    
WILMINGTON                            8.0                    
EAST BARRE 1 SW                       7.5                    
WARDSBORO 3 SW                        6.5                    

...WEST VIRGINIA...
CALVIN                               18.0                    
MUDDLETY                             16.0                    
CRAIGSVILLE 1 NE                     15.0                    
TIOGA                                15.0                    
RAINELLE 4 NE                        12.5                    
CAMDEN ON GAULEY 2 SW                12.0                    
HUNTERSVILLE                         10.0                    
MT NEBO 1 SE                         10.0                    
NETTIE                               10.0                    
HARRIET 3 NW                          9.2                    

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT...

...GEORGIA...
GADDISTOWN 4 N                        48                    
FULTON COUNTY ARPT                    46                    
HARTSFIELD-JACKSON ATLANTA ARPT       45                    
TYBEE ISLAND 4 NW                     45                    
HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD                  41                    

...MASSACHUSETTS...
EAST FALMOUTH                         81                    
HYANNIS ARPT                          79                    
NANTUCKET 3 SE                        77                    
BARNSTABLE                            76                    
WELLFLEET                             70                    
KALMUS                                69                    
WOODS HOLE                            68                    
AQUINNAH                              64                    
VINEYARD HAVEN                        64                    
PLUM ISLAND                           61                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
JENNETTES PIER                        69                    
OREGON INLET                          65                    
DUCK FRF RESEARCH PIER                60                    
STUMPY POINT                          58                    
HATTERAS HIGH                         52                    
AVON                                  50                    
KILL DEVIL HILLS                      47                    

...RHODE ISLAND...
NEWPORT                               64                    
ROSE ISLAND                           52                    
T.F. GREEN ARPT                       48                    
WESTERLY ARPT                         48                    

...SOUTH CAROLINA...
CHARLESTON 4 ESE                      44                    

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS
ENDED...

...IOWA...
CENTERVILLE 2 NNW                     4.5                    
CANTRIL                               4.0                    
MOUNT STERLING 3 WNW                  4.0                    

...ILLINOIS...
EICHORN                               5.0                    
SHAWNEETOWN 2 SW                      5.0                    
NORRIS CITY 3 E                       4.1                    
HARRISBURG 13 SE                      4.0                    
KARBERS RIDGE 2 SW                    4.0                    

...INDIANA...
TELL CITY                             5.0                    
WEST FORK                             3.5                    
JASPER 1 WSW                          2.0                    
EVANSVILLE                            1.8                    

...KENTUCKY...
LEXINGTON 3 SSE                      10.5                    
BEREA                                10.0                    
KEENE 5 NE                            9.0                    
PAINT LICK                            9.0                    
WILMORE                               9.0                    
STANTON 4 ESE                         8.5                    
CLOVER BOTTOM 1 WSW                   8.0                    
RUCKERVILLE                           8.0                    
WINCHESTER 6.4 SE                     8.0                    
RICHMOND 4 E                          7.0                    
YELLOW ROCK                           7.0                    

...MARYLAND...
MOUNTAIN LAKE PARK E                  3.0                    
LONG GREEN 2 NW                       1.7                    
BENTLEY SPRINGS 1 E                   1.5                    
FROSTBURG 2 ENE                       1.3                    

...MISSOURI...
WRIGHT CITY                           5.0                    
HIGH HILL 5 NE                        4.7                    
KIMMSWICK 1 W                         4.5                    
KINGDOM CITY 3 SE                     4.5                    
WARRENTON                             4.5                    
ETHEL 1 N                             4.0                    
BUELL 3 N                             3.7                    
WELDON SPRING 2 WNW                   3.0                    

...NORTH CAROLINA...
BALDWIN 1 SW                          7.0                    
TODD                                  7.0                    
WHITEHEAD 3 ESE                       6.0                    
GLADE VALLEY 3 ENE                    5.8                    
REIDSVILLE 3 NNW                      5.7                    
BROWNS SUMMIT 3 NW                    5.5                    
CAMP SPRINGS 2 NNE                    5.5                    
DEEP GAP                              5.0                    
ENNICE                                5.0                    
FLEETWOOD 3.1 SSE                     5.0                    
NORLINA 5.0 N                         5.0                    

...NEW JERSEY...
HIGHLAND LAKES                        7.5                    
GREEN POND                            5.4                    
FRANKLIN LAKES                        5.3                    
HAMBURG                               5.0                    
RIVERDALE 3 WSW                       5.0                    
WANTAGE 3 N                           4.8                    
FREEHOLD                              4.7                    
CLARKSBURG                            4.5                    
NEWARK AIRPORT                        0.3                    
ATLANTIC CITY                         0.2                    

...TENNESSEE...
SPRINGFIELD 10 SW                     2.5                    
BETHPAGE 4.5 NW                       2.3                    
GREENBRIER 1.4 N                      2.0                    
LAFAYETTE                             2.0                    
PORTLAND                              2.0                    
WHITE HOUSE 1 E                       2.0                    

...VIRGINIA...
MUSTOE 1 WSW                         11.8                    
MILL GAP 3 SSW                        9.0                    
GALAX CITY 2 NNW                      8.5                    
INDIAN VALLEY 1 ENE                   7.0                    
MILLBORO                              7.0                    
WARM SPRINGS 2 N                      7.0                    
MONTEREY 6.5 SSW                      6.8                    
BAYWOOD 5 NW                          6.5                    
CHRISTIANSBURG 1 ESE                  6.5                    
ELK CREEK                             6.5                    
HILLSVILLE 4 WNW                      6.5                    
MERRIMAC 2 NW                         6.5                    
WINTERGREEN 3 NW                      6.5                    


THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD STRENGTHEN A BIT MORE TUESDAY
EVENING WHILE CONTINUING ITS NORTHWARD TRACK OFFSHORE OF THE
NORTHEAST U.S. COAST. BY WEDNESDAY...THE NOR'EASTER WILL MAKE ITS
WAY INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND BEGIN TO WEAKEN. THROUGH
THURSDAY...THE HEAVIEST WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST
FOR MUCH OF MAINE AS THE LOW LINGERS NEARBY...WHERE 12 TO 18
INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. 12 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW IS ALSO
FORECAST FOR WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AS LAKE ENHANCEMENT OF
SNOW IS POSSIBLE. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF IN SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND OVERNIGHT...BUT NORTHERN VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE COULD
SEE AN ADDITIONAL FOOT OF SNOW. TREACHEROUS CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE AS THE HEAVY SNOW COMBINES WITH STRONG WINDS. PEOPLE IN
THESE AREAS SHOULD MONITOR LOCAL INFORMATION ON THIS ONGOING
WINTER STORM. ELSEWHERE...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SNOW IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE LOCALLY.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.