Mesoscale Discussion 0127 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0225 PM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018 Areas affected...Central and Southeast KY...Northeast TN...Extreme Southwest VA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 171925Z - 172130Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to form over central KY this afternoon, spreading/developing east-southeastward into adjacent parts of TN and VA. Large hail will be possible in the stronger cells. A watch is likely in the next couple of hours. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite loops show a corridor of increasing cumulus development over north-central KY. This is in vicinity of a weak surface low that will track southeastward across the discussion area during the afternoon and early evening. Strong heating is occurring in the warm sector of the low, resulting in substantial heating and destabilization. Meanwhile, low-level moisture is slowly returning to this area with dewpoints now in the 50s. Present indications are that storms will initiate near the surface low in the next 1-2 hours and spread southeastward across parts of southeast KY and into northeast TN and western VA. Sufficient CAPE and favorable effective shear/mid-level lapse rates will promote rotating cells capable of large hail. Locally damaging winds may also occur if storms can congeal and develop upscale several hours from now. ..Hart/Guyer.. 03/17/2018 |
Soil Moisture Condition Monitoring Weekly Report
Station Number: OH-HM-24
Station Name: Cheviot 3.4 W
Report Date: 3/17/2018
Submitted: 3/17/2018 7:04 AM
Scale Bar: Mildly Wet
Description:
0.25 inch liquid in the past 7 days. 1.0 inch of snow in the past 7 days. Below average liquid of 0.76 inch in March after a very wet February. With cold temperatures, soils are only slowly drying out. Still wet areas and runoff. Waterways returning to normal levels.
Categories: General Awareness
Agriculture
Plants & Wildlife
This report is specifically for the Arbor Doctor’s location 3.4 miles west of Cheviot, OH, in the western suburbs of Cincinnati in southwest Ohio. This location is also an official cooperative observation site for the National Weather Service listed as Cheviot 3W.
What is the Condition Monitoring Report? See these links for more information:
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT SATURDAY…
[4:05 PM] We may have sunny skies right now, but a mix of rain and freezing rain will overspread the area late tonight. Greatest threat for ice accumulation will be in parts of Miami Valley and central Ohio. Little to no ice south of OH River. Exercise caution late tonight!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wilmington OH 235 PM EDT Fri Mar 16 2018 INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ026-060-070>072-077>082-088-170245- /O.EXB.KILN.WW.Y.0013.180317T0400Z-180317T1600Z/ Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Hardin-Preble-Butler-Warren- Clinton-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto- Including the cities of Richmond, Connersville, Liberty, West College Corner, Brookville, Kenton, Ada, Eaton, Camden, Hamilton, Middletown, Fairfield, Oxford, Mason, Lebanon, Springboro, Wilmington, Blanchester, Cincinnati, Milford, Georgetown, Mount Orab, Hillsboro, Greenfield, West Union, Peebles, Waverly, Piketon, Portsmouth, and Wheelersburg 235 PM EDT Fri Mar 16 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EDT SATURDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total ice accumulations of up to a tenth of an inch are expected. * WHERE...Portions of East Central and Southeast Indiana and South Central, Southwest and West Central Ohio. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon EDT Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The ice will result in difficult travel conditions. Be prepared for slippery roads early Saturday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while driving. Additional information can be found at www.weather.gov/iln as well as on our Facebook and Twitter pages.